From the Desk of CF Capital: August Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

The last month has been quite eventful in our country and across the world. As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, we expect tensions to remain high. In July, President Trump miraculously survived an assassination attempt, and President Biden decided to drop out of the race, with VP Kamala Harris emerging as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve hinted at potential rate cuts in September, leading to a decline in treasury yields following revised economic data. Are we on the brink of a soft landing, or is a hard landing more likely as recession expectations rise?

In addition to these domestic developments, global conflicts in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia are intensifying, fueling fears of broader geopolitical tensions. As investors, it’s crucial to stay informed without becoming overwhelmed or pessimistic, especially with many events beyond our control.

These factors impact our portfolio management and short-term growth strategies. However, our focus remains firmly on the long term, and these current events are just that—current—and they too shall pass. Our North Star continues to be investing for the long term and managing through short-term noise. During both good times and bad, we aim to find opportunities where we can identify and drive value.

We’ve been saying that the current multifamily market in our region presents a “window of opportunity” to acquire attractive deals at a compelling basis—below replacement cost and well off the historic highs of recent years. Now, we are assessing whether this window will expand, prolong, or retract. With rates potentially declining, the market could become more conducive to transactions, which have largely stalled over the past year. However, this could also reignite irrational exuberance, driving pricing and cap rate compression, trends that have eased since mid-2022.

We remain nimble and prepared for either scenario, maintaining our long-term perspective while avoiding the trap of short-term volatility. Long-term trends are our calling card, and partners like you resonate with this approach, knowing that it’s impossible to “outsmart” the market consistently.

For investors on this journey with us, thank you for your continued trust in our team to steward your capital. We are committed to elevating our performance for your success. For those considering joining us, we would be honored to discuss your goals, the current market conditions, and future opportunities.

Here's to wishing you a great month as the kids head back to school and routines return!

In Partnership,
Tyler & Bryan

PS. There's no higher compliment than you referring us to your friends, family, and colleagues. We'd be honored by the opportunity to become a part of their trusted networks. Share your experience investing with CF Capital & invite others to become an investor here.

From the Desk of CF Capital: July Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

We hope you had a happy and enjoyable 4th of July! As we move into the second half of the year, we are excited to share updates on our progress, team developments, and market outlook.

Team Updates

We are thrilled to welcome Leslie Andren as our new Managing Director of Asset Management. Leslie brings a wealth of experience in real estate asset management and will be instrumental in enhancing our portfolio's performance.
Bio: Leslie Andren has over 30 years of experience in commercial real estate across various roles and institutions. Starting in commercial real estate banking, she handled distressed debt and originated loans for major U.S. developers. Her career spans both distressed commercial real estate debt and multifamily investments. Leslie's employers include Continental Illinois National Bank & Trust, GE Capital Corporation, Bank of America, Prudential Insurance, Equity Residential, Moran & Company, Cushman & Wakefield, Alliance Holdings, Atlas Apartment Homes, VennPoint Real Estate, and Strategic Properties of North America. At Equity Residential, she acquired a $380 million portfolio in her first year and managed a 15,000-unit West Coast portfolio. Leslie co-founded Atlas Apartment Homes, establishing key departments and acquiring hundreds of millions in assets. She holds an AB in History from Kenyon College and an MBA in Finance and Real Estate from the University of Wisconsin, Madison, and has been a member of NMHC, ULI, and CREW Chicago.

Highlights and Personal Updates

Tyler Keynotes at the Strategic Capital Raise Summit

Our very own Tyler had the honor of delivering the keynote address at the Strategic Capital Raise Summit. His insights on "The Power of Mindset in Shaping Success" and ensuing effective capital raising strategies were well-received and sparked engaging discussions among industry leaders.

Summer Fun with the Kids

The summer has been a blast for our collective families! Our kids are enjoying swimming, basketball camps, and various summer camps and activities, making the most of the sunny days.

Celebrating Birthdays

This month, we celebrate the birthdays of Dan Michael and Leslie Andren, two of our phenomenal team members. Please join us in wishing them a fantastic year ahead!

Looking Forward: Second Half of 2024

As we begin a new quarter, we are focused on achieving our goals for the second half of the year. One of our current initiatives being to close on our active acquisition in Indianapolis, Island Club—Invest Now, which is expected to be no later than mid-Q3. We remain hyper-focused on optimizing operations within our existing portfolio and successfully navigating upcoming capital events to protect and secure investor equity. Our recent quarterly offsite was a great success, providing us with the opportunity to align our strategies and set ambitious targets. Our company runs on "Traction," and we relish in the opportunity to step out of the day-to-day to work on the business on an annual, quarterly and weekly basis. This edition of the quarterly offsite yielded exciting clarity on some existing initiatives and strategies to employ for us to get closer to our Vivid Vision.

Market Outlook

We remain optimistic about the multifamily real estate market, while fully sentient on the current market challenges. The capital markets remain volatile, and we anticipate that volatility to remain throughout Q3 and into Q4 as this election cycle kicks into high gear. On the ground in our target markets of the major MSAs in Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio and Tennessee, fundamentals and trends indicate a stable demand for quality housing (with mostly stable new product deliveries and absorption), and we are well positioned to capitalize on the most attractive opportunities. Our team is diligently interacting with and monitoring market conditions to make informed decisions that will drive growth and deliver value to our investors. We're continuing to underwrite a robust pipeline of potential acquisitions on a daily basis and expect the next opportunity for your consideration to be coming soon. We still believe we're in a window of opportunity to acquire assets at very attractive discounts that will not last when rate cuts come back into the picture.

Thank you for your continued support and partnership. We look forward to sharing more updates and successes with you in the coming months.

Best regards,
Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: June Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

Hope you're having a great start to the summer and you have some exciting plans to make the most of this fun part of the year. As we all take some time to enjoy the warmer weather and longer days, I want to take a moment to share some updates and insights into our company's journey and the opportunities that lie ahead.

Company Updates

Firstly, I’m thrilled to report that this quarter has been one of significant achievement for the CF Capital team and our partners. We successfully completed due diligence on our current acquisition for our Indianapolis Multifamily Investment at Island Club, onboarded an Investor Relations Associate (along with continued onboarding and integration with our Senior Real Estate Analyst and Regional Property Manager), and conducted a thorough recruitment leading to a narrowed final set of candidates for our open Director of Asset Management leadership role. These developments are not only a testament to our team's hard work and dedication but also signals our commitment to continued growth and expansion in the face of a changing market cycle. We're positioning our team and underlying systems for enduring growth for the coming decades of opportunity.

On the operational front, we have wrapped up renovations at one ~250 unit asset that began 3 years ago, and are currently wrapping up another renovation project on another ~130 unit project by the end of this month. Seeing these projects through while remaining on budget and transforming the physical aspects of two value-add investments is rewarding, financially and otherwise for our partners and our team. Furthermore, on the site level throughout the portfolio, we've been navigating the changing market conditions by acquiring talented leadership on site and replacing less than optimal performers. These efforts lead to lagging results which we expect to capture throughout peak leasing season where we find ourselves now.

Looking Ahead

Looking forward, the roadmap for wrapping up Q2 and for the next quarter is focused on a few core areas, including the following:

Navigating Refinances: Over the next 90 days, we are pursuing a couple of refinances and extensions on assets in the current portfolio as their current debt matures. Our focus remains on protecting equity and optimizing positioning for capital growth for a future time frame when market conditions are more favorable for a sale.

Closing Island Club - Indianapolis Acquisition: We are set to close in mid to late July and roll out our value add business plan immediately thereafter. We're currently 90% committed on the equity side of things, but if you have interest in partnering with us on this opportunity in the meantime don't hesitate to reach out while the opportunity is still open. Invest Now

Onboarding Director of Asset Management: Plans are underway to onboard an extremely talented, dynamic and experienced team member to lead our asset management division with a focus on protecting the interests of our investors via optimized asset performance, risk management, and leadership of the property management operations.

We are immensely grateful for your continued support and belief in our vision. While the market is changing rapidly, with the current challenges, opportunities are abound. We look forward to capturing them together with you.

Closing Thoughts

As we continue on this exciting journey, your insights and feedback are invaluable to us. We invite you to engage with us anytime. Together, we are not just growing an investment platform and enduring company; we are leading the way in Elevating Communities Together - with a focus on doing what's best for our residents, staff, and partners. Thank you for your trust and partnership.

Enjoy your June, stay safe, and we look forward to our continued success together.

Warm regards,

Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: May Investor Report

Hello Friends and Partners,

The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby was quite the exciting photo finish, creating the most dramatic race in over 70 years for the heralded event. For folks from Louisville, the greatest 2 minutes in sports capped off a spectacular week of pageantry and fellowship for our team and families. We participated in some of the festivities throughout the week, enjoying each others' company and discussing opportunities and developing further our ever so important long term relationships with team members, partners, and vendors.

Aside from enjoying ourselves at Churchill Downs, we've had an extremely active month. We officially launched our latest opportunity, Island Club, in Indianapolis and are more than 75% full with limited slots remaining. While the market remains challenging, we believe this opportunity is extremely compelling and project outsized returns on this deal. Due diligence has been a success and revealed our expectations are in line with the potential of the asset, and we along with our management team expect even further upside after gaining detailed familiarity with the asset. Needless to say, we're excited! If you'd like to learn more about the deal or discuss your specific questions, please reach out while the opportunity is still available.

On the day to day front, we're excited to share that we're actively recruiting for a Director of Asset Management to join the CF Capital family. If you know someone with experience driving results for multifamily real estate in this capacity, we'd welcome the opportunity to connect with them and explore the possibility of this role together.

Apply Here

On the "greater good front," we were proud to have hosted and facilitated a "Financial Literacy for Kids" event at a school for under-privileged middle school kids in our community. The name of the event was "How to Become a Millionaire" and we covered financial literacy topics such as making budgeting fun and approachable, making more money, and leveraging the wonderful concept of compounding. We believe that giving the gift of prosperity is one of the most important gifts we can give, and were very gratified to have delivered this experience. We look forward to these children applying these learnings in their future and continuing to give back to our community and to others around the country in the future.

In summary, while we continue to strive to live life to the fullest, expand our existing and future relationships, we are continuing to acquire game changing multifamily investment opportunities, invest in our business, navigate day to day challenges, and give back to help make a massive difference for others. We're nowhere near perfect, but we appreciate the opportunity to continue to bring value to others around us in an exponential capacity. We welcome your continued and expanded partnership as we proceed forward! Reach out any time and let's discuss your goals.

In Partnership,

Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: March Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

We hope you and yours are doing well. This month, we're excited to be welcoming two new best-in-class team members to the CF Capital Family! Join us in celebrating the arrival of Andi Weis, Regional Property Manager, who brings 20+ years of experience in the property management business with institutional and private equity operational experience with prestigious outfits with strong presence in our markets. Andi is a graduate of the University of Louisville, a proud mom, avid fitness enthusiast, and we are very excited to bring her expertise to our portfolio to help drive results across the portfolio. Andi's leadership will be instrumental in ensuring our partners' interests are actively pursued and optimal results are driven on each of our sites now and into the future. This hire is pivotal for executing current and future investments at the highest level and we couldn't be more excited to be working with Andi.

Additionally, we are excited to be welcoming Dan Michael, Senior Real Estate Analyst, joining CF Capital from Equity Residential where he worked with the acquisitions and asset management teams in the same capacity. Dan will be bringing his sophisticated perspective toward leveling up our acquisitions team, asset management team, and investor relations team to help drive business results. Dan hails from Chicago and is a graduate of the University of Illinois. He enjoys golf, football, and all things Chicago sports. We're very lucky and excited to be bringing Dan on to our team to help us strengthen our intelligence and decision-making to optimize our future and current investments, along with leveling up our investor experience. 

Aside from these updates, we always think it's helpful for us to share our perspective on the market and where we see things going. If we didn't say the last couple of years have been challenging in this business we would be lying, to put it frankly. Most in real estate would agree that we've gone through a meaningful market downturn in large part induced by the most rapid rate hiking cycle in history, and a collection of other extreme headwinds (including factors such as inflation, insurance volatility, along with several other operational challenges). While the last couple of quarters have brought more stability, the market has still been doing its darndest to catch its footing and find some equilibrium, yet the forecasted outlook is still murky. Prices for multifamily assets have come down, creating compelling buying opportunities, but in large part there's still a bid/ask spread in the market of about 10%, causing the transaction market to remain largely muffled. All the while, our tireless acquisitions efforts have yielded several very attractive potential acquisitions we're circling closely that we hope to be sharing more with you soon.

With such a choppy market, it's been a challenging time for us to acquire more deals and offer more opportunities to partners such as yourself at the rate we desire. Nevertheless, we continue to invest in our business and grow tactfully and thoughtfully with the long term in mind. This, after all, is a cyclical business, and we are believers that continually investing in our infrastructure, team, and systems is always prudent, especially as we operate with long-term in mind. As we continue to strengthen our investment platform throughout all stages of the cycle, we are positioned to capture significantly attractive investment opportunities that this "window of opportunity" of market instability is generating and delivering results to our partners, such as you. We anticipate that as 2024 progresses, more truly motivated sellers ready to transact at market levels will surface, as the significant wave of debt maturities materialize mid-year. There hasn't yet been enough of a reason for sellers to actually sell in a depressed valuation market until now, yet that is rapidly changing.

Looking ahead, we're excited to invite you to our upcoming investor event. On April 11, from 5:00 pm - 7:00 pm, join us for an expert panel, networking, and a happy hour to follow. We look forward to a lively discussion on the state of the market, expert analysis and forecasts, deal-making, and relationship-building. We're excited to be collaborating with the folks at Ness & Associates on this exciting event, and hope to see you there.

We look forward to seeing you soon and exploring expanding our partnership together during this unique time in the market! Don't hesitate to reach out and schedule a time to discuss anything whether that be market analysis, current pursuits, your goals and objectives or upcoming investment opportunities. 

In Partnership, 
Tyler and Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: February Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

We hope you are doing well and having a great month so far. It's always great to get a chance to sit down and write this newsletter and share with you what we've been up to, what's on our mind, how we're viewing the market, what data and perspectives we're synthesizing, how we're making sense of key business decisions surrounding existing operations and potential acquisitions, and simply sharing with you company and personal updates from members of our team at CF Capital. We look forward to doing so once again today, and investing further into our long-term relationships together with you. Allow us to strive to strike the balance between covering all these bases without making this too much of a novel, a challenge indeed!

Ultimately, the real estate investment business can be either very complicated or very simple depending on the lens you look at it with. If we were to attempt to simplify, as we always say success always hinges on high quality relationships, nuanced and nimble intelligence (ie. distilling information and experience into wisdom), and effective action. To chunk it down even further, in multifamily real estate, it's all about providing a quality place to live at a fair market price, offering high quality service on maintenance or other requests, and operating the business by prudently managing to a realistic budget. This all assumes you made conservative assumptions prior to the investment and the return on investment is competitive and helps you reach your objectives, of course.

On the "nuanced and nimble intelligence piece," we continue to be operating within a complex and constantly changing broader climate currently heavily influenced by capital markets volatility, persistent yet recent reduction in quarter over quarter inflation (perhaps a degree of current disinflation, also depending on how you forecast), a unique labor market that appears to be healthy on the surface and complicated beneath the surface, an election year of momentous impact, and black swans (ie. unknowable impactful events) always swimming at some part of the horizon. While the broader US economy is not technically in a recession, most in real estate would agree that we've been operating within a downturn for more than the last year with significant reductions in transaction activity across the country, downward pressure on occupancy rates from record new construction deliveries (along with some markets outside of our targets in boom/bust territory experiencing significant downward pressure on rental rates), and operating costs materially rising. Market participants are challenged to find a "light at the end of the tunnel." Yet, all the while, and perhaps due to these conditions, significant opportunities are absolutely abound. In many respects, we believe we are in a window of opportunity for generational investment opportunities in multifamily real estate. With our relationships, expertise, we are positioned to capture these opportunities and will continue to keep you informed as deals develop.

In December the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated the likelihood of 3 rate cuts in 2024 to begin as early as March, a surprising dovish stand from otherwise a very hawkish Fed as of recent quarters, and in early February the same Jerome Powell indicated that in light of recent economic data they would be treading lightly on any rate cuts. Bond markets reacted and impending interest rates responded in opposite directions to each set of commentary, and no one can truly predict where markets will lead as the year progresses. Forward looking curves could be as valuable as the paper they are written on for all we currently know. Further sauce to add to the saucepan of making sense of a market with conflicting indicators across the board. The result? Continued confusion and a continuation of somewhat of a stalled market. Yet, as this year unfolds, we are anticipating transaction activity picking up due to necessity for a myriad of reasons whether debt maturity or operational challenges related.

So now that you're either bored to tears by all of this analysis or confused with all of the conflicting considerations, let's ask the question that you've been waiting for! What else have the men and women of CF Capital been up to and what else is on our mind?

We are thrilled to announce that we just hired a new Regional Property Manager with over 20 years experience to oversee our portfolio exclusively. We couldn't be more pleased with this successful recruitment and cornerstone hire for our organization as we persistently deliver upon our promises to our partners on all active deals, into the future. More details to come as we introduce this team member to you in the coming months.

We're nearing the hire of a Sr. Real Estate Analyst who will be joining our team in the coming month. We're very excited to level up our nuanced intelligence and capacity for effective action on the fronts of intelligence, asset management and investor relations.

We had a great trip to San Diego for the annual NMHC conference to meet with the top brokers, operators and investors across our region and the country. The future certainly is bright with some of the brightest minds in our field!

We're keeping close tabs on the HR 2074 Bill that was recently passed in the House of Representatives, which includes provisions for the reinstatement of the 100% bonus depreciation of real estate investments, retroactive to 2023. This bill has been moved on to the Senate with tremendous bipartisan support.

As always, please reach out to us and let's discuss your thoughts, concerns, objectives or to catch up in general. We appreciate your partnership and look forward to continuing to earn your trust as time marches on.

In Partnership,

Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: January Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

Happy New Year! As real estate investors, we are generally happy to see the calendar turn to 2024 after the very challenging and tumultuous year of 2023. While the change in the calendar is more a symbolic change and much of the uncertainty remains in the broader market, there seems to be a sentiment among market experts that this year will bring a renewed sense of clarity and stability in the overall commercial real estate market versus the opposite in the year in the rearview. For example, the Fed's recent "dovish" commentary introducing potentially 3 rate cuts in 2024 has enlivened investors for the potential of increased cash flow, improved financing dynamics and an overall de-icing in transaction velocity for the year. On the other hand, the 2024 election is now heating up and anyone with any form of a crystal ball to predict the state of the economy during such a time in the next year would be untrustworthy or a charlatan.

At CF Capital, one thing we can count on is family and each other. We appreciated the opportunity to spend more quality time with our families for the holidays and to celebrate our team's accomplishments in 2023. Here are a few photos of our team from our annual holiday dinner and with our families making memories during a very special time in our lives:

Bidding Farewell to Elevate Podcast

I come to you with a mix of emotions as I share some important news regarding our journey together on Elevate Podcast. After 4.5 incredible years and over 320 episodes with some of the world's most prolific investors, #1 NY Times Best-Selling Authors, Hall of Fame Athletes, Olympic Legends, world leaders in personal development, profoundly influential entrepreneurs, leaders, coaches and renowned economists, the time has come for me to bid farewell to this chapter of our podcasting adventure. Creating Elevate has been an extraordinary experience, and I am immensely grateful for the support, inspiration, and enthusiasm you've shared with me throughout this journey. Your engagement has fueled the growth of our like-minded community and has made every episode a meaningful conversation that transcended the digital airwaves. As I reflect on the countless conversations, insightful interviews, and shared moments of learning and growth, I am filled with a deep sense of gratitude for the impact this podcast has had on both myself and our community. The connections we've forged and the stories we've explored together will forever hold a special place in my heart.

While it's bittersweet to say goodbye to Elevate, I am excited to share that new creative endeavors are on the horizon. Although I can't reveal the details just yet, I am committed to bringing you content that continues to inspire, uplift, challenge and engage our community. I want to express my sincerest appreciation for you being a part of this incredible community. Your feedback, messages, and unwavering support have been the driving force behind Elevate's success, and I am genuinely excited to embark on a new chapter with you.

As we close this chapter together, I am encouraged that we are remaining connected and you'll be the first to know about upcoming projects. Thank you once again for being a part of the Elevate community. I look forward to the next adventure and continuing this incredible journey with you. In the meantime, our journey together with CF Capital is only just beginning, and many profound triumphs lie ahead of us as we conquer substantial goals in partnership.

Looking Ahead

As for 2024, we're expanding our team, forming new partnerships with investors and other strategic partners, growing our portfolio, protecting our partners' capital via capital events, and plugging into doing the hard things daily. Our focus remains in being your trusted real estate partner, which includes remaining plugged into the latest happenings in the market and reacting as necessary, yet also creating proactive opportunities through our expanding and extensive network.

If you're attending NMHC in San Diego at the end of this month, we'd love to meet with you, use the button below to schedule a meeting with us.

Meet with us at NMHC

If you are interested in being a part of our team or know someone who should be considered, please send your resume here.

If you are ready to discuss investing in our next project, schedule a call with us:

Schedule a Meeting with Tyler

Schedule a Meeting with Bryan

In Partnership,

Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: December Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

Excitement is in the air as the holiday season is upon us! As we navigate the ever evolving seas of the real estate market, we're grounded by the opportunity to take time with family and friends during this special time of year. There's so much to be thankful for. Simultaneously, we remain very active in optimizing our current portfolio during this volatile market and seeking new acquisitions during this window of opportunity to acquire high quality assets at a discount, while Santa gets his sleigh all loaded up. Let's dive into some updates and some of what's going on in our world.

November: A Transformational Month - Personally and Professionally

Members of our team had an incredibly productive and transformative November. Bryan and his wife Channing traveled to Peru during the week of Thanksgiving to hike the Inca Trail to Machu Picchu. For 4 days and 3 nights, they challenged themselves mentally and physically to explore one of the most remarkable places in the world, and the metaphoric transformation they experienced was infectious.

Tyler traveled to South Beach Miami to attend Bisnow's Ascent Retreat, which is the most exclusive commercial real estate community across the country, comprised of the top owners, developers, and investors under the age of 45(ish). With $4 trillion+ in AUM, 2.1 billion in square footage under ownership, & 600K+ in multifamily units owned, the Ascent community powers the entire CRE industry. This was a great event with some of the most respected CRE participants (institutional equity investors, lenders, debt and equity brokers, sponsors, developers, etc) across the nation (and included excursions with some of the most renowned experts on high performance) for Tyler represent CF Capital and to connect to new and existing strategic partners, discuss and identify collaboration opportunities in a casual environment. While the waters of the economic sea remain choppy, relationships forged and innovation identified through this type of event is to the benefit of our existing and future partners with folks like yourself.

Also, CF Capital was the “Featured Developer” at the 2023 KY CPA Commercial Real Estate Conference, where we discussed strategies, structures, tax strategies and case studies with leading CPAs across the state.

Separation Season

For many in the real estate industry, this time of year brings a slowdown in activity, yet for CF Capital we see it as "separation season," even without giving up the fun of the holidays. Separation from the previous version of each of our team members in a sense of personal growth (we believe that our collective success is a lagging indicator of our continued individual personal growth, after all) and separation from the competitive landscape in the sense of business development. Many others are taking their foot off the gas in many ways and taking extended time off during this time of the year, yet, for us, we're doubling down on finishing the year strong and setting up 2024 to be our best year yet. Of course we're still taking time to observe the holiday season with our loved ones, but instead of taking the entire season off, we're challenging ourselves to step up our commitments during this time of year.

How are we doing so? For starters, later this week we are conducting our annual offsite retreat for our leadership team. During this multiple day out of town retreat, we reflect on the success and opportunities for growth that we've encountered this year, refresh and discuss our SWOT analysis, go deep on what's working and not, and set goals in accordance with our Vivid Vision for the next year, and more. Since our inception, we remain committed to the Traction EOS comprehensive business management framework, and we're looking forward to "emptying the tank" of our minds to help create clarity, efficiency, inspiration and set the path for optimal execution in the next year. We certainly mix in a little fun and team bonding experiences, but this type of thinking is some of the hardest work we do, and inevitably it helps us really hit the ground running for the new year.

How else are we embracing this separation season? Another example is the doubling down on the growth of our team, even during this time of year (and during the phase of the market cycle, where many groups have implemented hiring freezes and are even downsizing). In addition to our normal course of daily business, we're actively recruiting two positions: Sr. Real Estate Analyst, and now Regional Property Manager. If you know someone who should be considered for either of these positions, please send us a resume with a cover letter to [email protected].

Real Estate Market Analysis & Outlook

The elephant in the room remains interest rates. Recently, we've seen treasuries decline significantly from mid October to the early part of December. Will this trend hold? Does this tell us that the bond market is projecting a "hard landing" in 2024 after all? How will the Fed respond to a recession during an election year? In the words of Nate Bargatze, nobody knows. (By the way, if you missed that skit on SNL, it’s definitely worth 5 minutes!)

Beyond interest rates, many multifamily markets across the sunbelt and western US continue to see very meaningful rent declines, and growing vacancy with record new deliveries. The midwest and northeast have been more stable (while our markets in the midwest have been as steady and attractive as can be, especially during this time, further cementing the relevance of our investment thesis for these markets where we tend to be more insulated from booms and busts), with less prior significant expansion during the boom period of late 2020 to mid 2022 (the key word is "less" here, as historic liquidity and artificially low interest rates made some investors make some strange decisions in all markets). Investors who aggressively pursued assets at all time low cap-rates during 2021 who have maturing debt in this environment are looking at carnage in the face as they approach capital events, leading to some opportunistic scenarios.

These factors, and continued inflation, eating into profit margin for operators all over the country, will heavily influence the condition of the market into this new year. Well capitalized operators and investors will likely be the beneficiaries of some very attractive opportunities as a result. Stay tuned, and stay ready.

In conclusion, we'd like to wish you and yours a fantastic and memorable holiday season. We challenge you to join our separation season challenge, and at the same time, enjoy the magic of this wonderful time of the year. As always, don't hesitate to reach out to us if you'd like to discuss the market, your goals, and any other questions you might have for us. We're here to help you, and in partnership, we can and will go far together.

Season's Greetings,

From the Desk of CF Capital: November Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

We hope you and yours are enjoying the season of autumn as we welcome the month of November. You may have found yourself in the hundreds of millions of Americans that welcomed this month with a significant cold snap, firmly cementing the transition to the fall season. The kids in our lives (and their parents, for that matter!) broke out their winter coats, hats and gloves and still had a blast for Halloween, nevertheless! We hope you did too.

In this month's investor report, we're excited to share what we've been up to and what we're seeing in the market in an effort to help our valued partners make more sense of the complexity of the current and projected marketplace.

Strengthening Partnerships in the Real Estate Capital of the World

First, in October, it was great to spend time in NYC, where we had the privilege of spending valuable time with some of CF Capital's important strategic partners (some of the most elite minds in our industry, nationwide), discussing the state of the market and strengthening our relationships for future opportunistic pursuits. We are excited about the opportunities that are emerging through these best in class collaborations and look forward to sharing more details in the coming months, to your benefit.

Market Updates: Residential Market Dynamics, Midwest Stability, War in the Middle East and Interest Rates

Multifamily real estate continues to be a resilient and attractive investment in today's ever-changing and in many cases turbulent economic landscape. Demand for quality apartments remains robust, driven by factors such as high single-family mortgage interest rates, rising costs of home ownership, steady population growth, and select job market expansion. As the chart below shows, the gap between homeownership and multifamily rents are at historic levels. This spread driven by increased mortgage rates coupled with the overall housing shortage are keeping demand for rental property strong.

CF Capital and our partners are actively invested in Kentucky and Indiana and are further pursuing growth in the Major MSAs of each state in addition to Cincinnati, OH, and in Nashville, TN. Depending on who you speak to, these markets would be considered the Midwest, while in many circles Kentucky would be considered the Southeast, and usually Tennessee is firmly considered Southeast. Regardless, the characteristics of most of the markets that we target (with the exception of Nashville), tend to follow Midwest trendlines. The Midwest, historically known for steady and attractive growth, remains strong and steady while some other regions of the country are seeing rental rate declines. The Midwest's healthy overall economic conditions, population stability, stable population growth, and continued rent and job growth make it a compelling destination for investment in otherwise volatile macroeconomic conditions. Recent reports of our target markets like Louisville, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati leading the nation in rent growth and salary expansion for 2023 highlights the region's position for long-term value, compelling us to continue to pursue attractive value-add multifamily opportunities to share with you.

Unless you live somewhere deep under a rock, you are well aware that in October, a brutal war in the Middle East broke out from the attack on innocent civilians in Israel. Our hearts go out to the many families impacted, and the many families that are being impacted in the conflict since the initial attack. Geopolitical concerns are on high alert across the world, impacting capital markets and anticipated market conditions. There are no certainties of how things will play out, but investors are on high alert as governments play the high-stakes chess game of incredibly complex circumstances that no doubt impact financial markets, investor sentiment, and the flow of capital.

Last week, the FOMC met and left interest rates unchanged, making it the second meeting in a row where the central bank has skipped a rate hike. Capital markets remain very volatile, influencing decisions related to capitalization, growth targets, and the broader investment landscape. Uncertainty remains, but a pause gives players like us more clarity and stability in the real estate market today for investors positioning for transactions. The recent jobs report showed a softening employment market, which caused treasuries to dip meaningfully as the market anticipates an overall weakening economy, signaling perhaps future dovish central bank behavior. While interest rates are not directly correlated to cap rates (ie. multifamily asset valuations), they are absolutely sensitive to them, and overall cash flow is certainly impacted. Time will show how the capital markets continue to make sense of the state of the market, after a dizzying last 20 or so months of interest rate hikes working their way through the system. We continue to believe this time of uncertainty remains a window of opportunity to secure attractive deals at discounts, while being properly capitalized for longer term hold periods.

Looking Towards 2024

As we look forward to 2024, we are closely following the significant wave of multifamily maturities coming due, comprising hundreds of millions of dollars worth of quality assets in our target markets that may be forced to transact at adjusted market level prices. The story of how this landscape will evolve, including strategies for recapitalization, refinancing, or asset disposition at potentially reduced valuations due to increased interest rates and cap rate expansion, is still unfolding. Time will tell, and flexibility remains our north star as we navigate these ever changin market dynamics.

Thank you for being an integral part of our community. We look forward to keeping you updated on the latest developments in the real estate market and opportunities to grow your wealth through real estate at CF Capital. If you have any questions, comments, or suggestions, please feel free to reach out to us.

Wishing you a prosperous November!

Your Trusted Real Estate Partners,

Tyler & Bryan

From the Desk of CF Capital: October Investor Report

Hello Friends and Investors,

We hope you and yours are well as we welcome the vibrant season of autumn. October is a time of change, and in the real estate investment landscape, change is the cornerstone of progress and growth. As we dive into this month's report, we're looking forward to sharing with you an update on the multifamily real estate market, a glimpse into CF Capital's recent endeavors, and an exciting announcement regarding our current analyst position recruitment.

Market Overview: Multifamily Real Estate Update

Multifamily real estate fundamentals in our target markets have remained dynamic and resilient despite the drastically evolving economic landscape. Demand for quality apartments in our markets continues to be robust, propelled by a range of factors, including high mortgage interest rates pushing people away from home purchases, population growth and job growth. In comparison, some higher cost of living markets across the country are seeing actual rent rate declines in today's marketplace. Our slow and steady markets continue to chug along.

Recent market "whiplash" from the fastest rate hiking cycle in history remains a significant headwind. Looking back, rates today are 5 times higher than where they were 18 months ago, an unprecedented sea change creating distress and potential opportunity for investors. Capital markets remain extremely volatile, influencing current operators' decision making for capitalization, growth targets and the resulting overall investment landscape. Looking ahead to 2024, there are reported to be hundreds of billions of dollars worth of multifamily debt coming due (comprised of hundreds of thousands of apartments across the country), and the story is still unfolding with regard to how the landscape will take shape regarding positioning to recapitalize, refinance, or dispose of assets at depressed pricing due to increased interest rates and cap rate expansion. Time will tell, and a lot will likely change, while we remain dialed in to protect investor capital and keep open options for flexibility as best as possible as the storm passes.

CF Capital Updates

At CF Capital, our team remains committed to delivering exceptional value and superior service to our investors. Over the past month, we finalized our partnership with JG2 to begin the process of bringing property management in-house to further align investors interests to the property management function. Over the course of the next 24 months, we will be leveraging JG2's outstanding team, systems, functions and expertise in property and construction management as we work together to build out the same within CF Capital's four walls. Our ongoing projects are progressing, and we're focused on driving operational efficiencies and enhancing the overall value of our portfolio. Our dedicated team works tirelessly to ensure that our investors' interests are at the forefront of every decision we make.

Also, during September we closed on Elevate at Nulu, and have been very pleased with an extremely smooth takeover. Our property management partner for this asset, BH Management, shared that from their perspective it has been one of the smoothest takeovers they've seen even from the perspective of over 100,000 units under management. Furthermore, we're seeing immediate organic rent growth already begin to exceed our proforma on renewals and make readies. This is great news for our investors as renovations begin to ramp up, as we anticipate continued positive momentum. If you'd like to join us in this deal, there's still a couple of slots available!

Lastly, we continue to identify and assess potential multifamily acquisitions that offer compelling value and align with our investment thesis. We're seeing more compelling opportunities than we've seen in quite some time, and anticipate that trend continuing as capital markets continue to be volatile. With a long term perspective, such investors are positioned well to capitalize on the state of the market.

Exciting Announcement: Analyst Position Recruitment

We're thrilled to announce that CF Capital is actively recruiting for the position of Analyst to join our team. This role offers a unique opportunity for driven and experienced individuals to join a fast paced and high performing team of real estate professionals. If you or someone you know is passionate about real estate analysis, possesses strong analytical skills, and is eager to take their career to the next level, we invite you to explore this exciting opportunity by visiting our careers page here.

Thank you for being an integral part of our community. We look forward to keeping you updated with the latest developments in the real estate market and our journey at CF Capital. If you have any questions, comments, or suggestions, please feel free to reach out to us.

Wishing you a prosperous October!

In Partnership,

Tyler & Bryan